Percepción de variabilidad climática, uso de información y estrategias de los agentes frente al riesgo. Análisis de esquemas decisionales en agricultores de la región pampeana argentina

Mundo Agrario

Fernando Ruiz Toranzo²  Guillermo Podestá³  Andrés Barsky¹ 

[1] Instituto del Conurbano. Universidad Nacional de General Sarmiento;Coordinador de Grupos CREA, Regional Valles Cordilleranos. Asociación Argentina de Consorcios Regionales de Experimentación Agrícola (AACREA);Division of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography. Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science. Universidad de Miami

关键词: agricultor;    percepción climática;    riesgo;    esquema decisional;    decisiones de producción;    decisiones de manejo climático.;   

DOI  :  

学科分类：农业科学（综合）

来源: Universidad Nacional de la Plata * Facultad de Humanidades y Ciencias de la Educacion

【 摘 要 】

This article analyzes the elements that are considered by Pampean producers when making production decisions considering the climate as a factor. The article focuses on how producers perceive climate variability and on the type of information they manage when it comes to mid-term perspectives. During 2005, interviews were held with 60 producers, who were selected from two different zones of the Pampa region with different physical characteristics, thirty of them belonging to the central humid pampas in Buenos Aires province and the other thirty belonging toborder semiarid pampas located at Cordoba province. The results of the analysis help characterize the mental models behind the decision-making process in the individuals' perceptions, bearing in mind that their activity entails exposure to risk. The research's main objective is to propose communication measures that may help improve the use of climate forecasts by the social agents, assuming this is an available tool with significant potential to provide a more scientific support to the procedures of the production agents and to -improve economic earnings performance.

【 授权许可】

Unknown