Target modal split model

Transport

Valentina Basarić¹  Jadranka Jović² 

[1] Faculty of Technical Sciences, University of Novi Sad, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 6, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia;Transport and Traffic Engineering Faculty, University of Belgrade, Vojvode Stepe 305, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia

关键词: modal split;    sustainable transport;    traffic demand management;    parking policy;    regression analysis;   

DOI  :  10.3846/16484142.2011.644044

学科分类：航空航天科学

来源: Vilnius Gedinimas Technical University

【 摘 要 】

The research presented in this paper is aimed at defining a model that enables the management of the relationship between private vehicles and public transport applying the available instruments of city transport policy such as parking policy and public transport policy measures. Statistical data used for modelling is sourced from the database in a wide range of EU cities. The target model was developed in the form of stepwise regression analysis. Very favourable statistical results were obtained, and the subsequent tests on the city of Novi Sad (250000 inhabitants) led to the conclusion that the obtained results were suitable for implementation in practice. The results of the implemented procedure are of great importance for the enhancement of the existing transport policies in cities, as they enable the development of strategies for finding combinations of instruments that would bring the transport system and urban environment into a desired-viable rather than consequential condition.

【 授权许可】

CC BY