Reanalysis: Are coups good for democracy?:

Research & Politics

Michael K. Miller¹ 

关键词: Coups;    democratization;    quantitative methods;    fixed effects;   

DOI  :  10.1177/2053168016681908

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: Sage Journals

【 摘 要 】

Several recent studies find that coups in autocracy raise the ensuing likelihood of democratization. In a recent critique (“Are coups good for democracy?”), Derpanopoulos et al. dispute this link. This paper shows that their modeling approach, which includes fixed effects for each autocratic regime spell, suffers from severe bias. A reanalysis that applies similar models to the data without this bias recovers significant effects of coups and coup attempts on democratization, although only during the post-Cold War era.

【 授权许可】

CC BY-NC-ND