An upper limit prediction of the peak sunspot number for solar cycle 24

Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate

R. Van der Linden¹  T. Podladchikova² 

[1] Solar-Terrestrial Center of Excellence, ROB,Belgium;Institute for Applied System Analysis, NTUU KPI,Ukraine, Solar-Terrestrial Center of Excellence, ROB,Belgium

关键词: prediction;    solar activity cycle;   

Others  :  800727
DOI  :  doi:10.1051/swsc/2011110013

 received in 2011-02-10, accepted in 2011-05-02,  发布年份 2011

【 摘 要 】

In this paper we address the prediction of the maximum sunspot number in solar cycle 24. We correlate the integral sunspot activity related to the variability of the cycle decrease speed in the declining phase with the height of the next sunspot maximum. Using this method we predict that the sunspot maximum of cycle 24 will be weaker than the previous one and its peak value will not exceed 72.

【 授权许可】

   
© Owned by the authors, Published by EDP Sciences 2011

【 图 表 】

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