Load Forecasting of Urban Power Grid under the Condition of Saturation

4th Annual International Workshop on Materials Science and Engineering

Jin, Wei^1 ; Zhan, Haidong^1 ; Yang, Huping^1

Information Engineering Institute, Nanchang University, Xinjian County, Nanchang

330000, China^1

关键词: Economic growths;    Electric saturation;    Electricity quality;    Long-term load forecasting;    Scientific planning;    Socio-economic development;    Urban distribution networks;    Urban power grids;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/381/1/012131/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/381/1/012131

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Urban distribution network is an important part of the power system, as one of the city's important infrastructure; it is closely related to the city's socio-economic development. The goal of urban distribution network planning is to improve the power supply ability and electricity quality constantly of the city network through scientific planning and constructing network-strong, structure-applicable, safe, reliable, running-flexible, energy-saving and efficient distribution network, and consequently the distribution network will meet the requirements of urban economic growth and society development. This study takes a county in eastern Jiangxi as an example; this paper chooses a variety of load forecasting methods to carry on the recent load forecasting calculation to central urban area. At the same time, this paper uses load density index method to predict the Long - term load forecasting of electric saturation load of central urban area lasted until 2030. And further study shows the general distribution of the urban saturation load in space.