Implementation of Automatic Clustering Algorithm and Fuzzy Time Series in Motorcycle Sales Forecasting

2nd Annual Applied Science and Engineering Conference

工业技术;自然科学

Rasim^1 ; Junaeti, E.^1 ; Wirantika, R.^1

Computer Science Department, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia, Bandung, Indonesia^1

关键词: Automatic clustering algorithm;    Error rate;    Forecasting methods;    Fuzzy time series;    Percentage error;    Sales forecasting;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/288/1/012126/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/288/1/012126

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Accurate forecasting for the sale of a product depends on the forecasting method used. The purpose of this research is to build motorcycle sales forecasting application using Fuzzy Time Series method combined with interval determination using automatic clustering algorithm. Forecasting is done using the sales data of motorcycle sales in the last ten years. Then the error rate of forecasting is measured using Means Percentage Error (MPE) and Means Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results of forecasting in the one-year period obtained in this study are included in good accuracy.