Socio-economic potential of municipalities in the context of natural risk (case study _ Southern Siberian regions)

1st International Geographical Conference of North Asian Countries "China-Mongolia-Russia Economic Corridor: Geographical and Environmental Factors and Territorial Development Opportunities"

地球科学;生态环境科学;经济学

Badina, S.V.^1

Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of Geography, Moscow, Russia^1

关键词: Economic components;    Economic densities;    Economic potentials;    Index parameters;    Integral index;    Natural hazard;    Production volumes;    Socio-economics;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/190/1/012001/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/190/1/012001

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

A method for natural risk assessment is proposed. It based on data of socio-economic potential and natural hazards spatial distribution on the study area. This methodology for assessing the economic component of natural risk consists by two integral indices. The first is the index of social and economic density on the territory. It shows the probable maximum direct and indirect damage from natural hazards per unit area only the economically exploited part of total municipal territory. Index parameters are: population, fixed assets value and gross production volume, which divided into the built-up area of municipality. The second is the index of socio-economic spatial vulnerability of the territory. It demonstrates the probability of crossing the concentrated social and economic potential areas and disaster zone. Index calculated as multiplication of population, fixed assets value and gross production volume to the spatial vulnerability coefficient. This coefficient is equal to the share of built-up area in the total area of municipal land. We have identified potentially the most vulnerable municipalities in South Siberia with indices values above the macro-regional average. In addition, the maximum debris flow risk zones were singled out.