Formulation of Interstate Energy Contract Target Based on Optimal Energy Structure

2nd International Symposium on Resource Exploration and Environmental Science

生态环境科学

Jiang, Congwen^1 ; Ji, Chen^1 ; Chen, Jiaojiao^1

School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Soochow University, China^1

关键词: Decision analysis model;    Decision-tree algorithm;    Economic development;    Economic information;    Energy;    Energy distributions;    Evolution characteristics;    Grey prediction;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/170/4/042041/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/170/4/042041

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

The production and usage of energy are crucial to the economic development and environmental protection. Along the U.S. border with Mexico, there are four states - California, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas. We take the data of 605 variables in 50 variables of four states as samples and combine demographic and economic information to analyze. Firstly, we use decision tree algorithm to describe the evolution characteristics of each energy distribution and establish energy decision analysis model. Secondly, we establish an energy profile evaluation model based on the analytic hierarchy process. Then, the states were given a certain amount of importance and put in the judgment submatrix. According to results, California scores the highest, which means it has the best energy structure. Thirdly, we use the grey prediction method to deduce the amount of energy consumption and economic status from 2010 to 2050. It's worth noting that how to determine interstate energy contracts in four states should take into account the best energy structure and four state energy standards. We choose the best energy structure as the reference target to formulate the energy agreement. Finally, we made some constructive recommendations toward the development blueprint of the interstate energy contract.