Rethinking impact evaluation and carbon reduction analysis on electric bus vehicles in China

International Conference on Energy Engineering and Environmental Protection 2017

能源学;生态环境科学

Li, Zhenyu^1 ; Li, Chao^1 ; Liao, Kai^1 ; Yin, Zhifang^1

China Urban Sustainable Transport Research Center, China Academy of Transportation Sciences, Beijing

100029, China^1

关键词: Carbon reduction analysis;    CO2 emissions;    Current status;    Emission reduction;    Evaluation results;    Impact evaluation;    Scenario analysis;    Vehicle development;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/121/3/032041/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/121/3/032041

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

New energy bus vehicles (NEBVs) are expanding in China, but they have some problems such as technology, high cost and safety etc., thus NEBVs should be comprehensively evaluated from costs, technologies, environment, and based on the evaluation results, some changes should be improved. This paper firstly analyses the current status of both vehicle development and existing policies, identifies the main characteristics and the main problems in term of the economic, standard, policy, etc., by scenario analysis, forecasts the future growth from now to 2030 and calculates the emission reduction in low level scenario and high level scenario. In 2020 and 2030, 6 million and 24 million ton of CO2emission will be reduced respectively. Finally, the paper makes a conclusion of Chinese experiences and gives some measures for the future development.