Logit and probit model in toll sensitivity analysis of Solo-Ngawi, Kartasura-Palang Joglo segment based on Willingness to Pay (WTP)

International Conference on Eco Engineering Development 2017

生态环境科学

Handayani, Dewi^1 ; Putri, Hera Cahyaning^1 ; Mahmudah, A.M.H.^1

Civil Engineering Department, Sebelas Maret University, Ir. Sutami Road 36 A, Surakarta, Central Java, Indonesia^1

关键词: Four-wheeled vehicles;    Policy instruments;    Regional economic;    Road development;    Stated preferences;    Sustainable transport;    Toll management;    Willingness to pay;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/109/1/012035/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/109/1/012035

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Solo-Ngawi toll road project is part of the mega project of the Trans Java toll road development initiated by the government and is still under construction until now. PT Solo Ngawi Jaya (SNJ) as the Solo-Ngawi toll management company needs to determine the toll fare that is in accordance with the business plan. The determination of appropriate toll rates will affect progress in regional economic sustainability and decrease the traffic congestion. These policy instruments is crucial for achieving environmentally sustainable transport. Therefore, the objective of this research is to find out how the toll fare sensitivity of Solo-Ngawi toll road based on Willingness To Pay (WTP). Primary data was obtained by distributing stated preference questionnaires to four wheeled vehicle users in Kartasura-Palang Joglo artery road segment. Further data obtained will be analysed with logit and probit model. Based on the analysis, it is found that the effect of fare change on the amount of WTP on the binomial logit model is more sensitive than the probit model on the same travel conditions. The range of tariff change against values of WTP on the binomial logit model is 20% greater than the range of values in the probit model . On the other hand, the probability results of the binomial logit model and the binary probit have no significant difference (less than 1%).