Research of Coal Resources Reserves Prediction Based on GM (1, 1) Model

2017 3rd International Conference on Environmental Science and Material Application

生态环境科学;材料科学

Xiao, Jiancheng^1

College of Mining and Safety Engineering of Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao

266590, China^1

关键词: Coal resources;    Economic and social development;    GM (1 , 1) model;    Gray forecasting;    Gray system theory;    Objective reality;    Prediction model;    Prediction-based;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/108/3/032073/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/108/3/032073

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Based on the forecast of China's coal reserves, this paper uses the GM (1, 1) gray forecasting theory to establish the gray forecasting model of China's coal reserves based on the data of China's coal reserves from 2002 to 2009, and obtained the trend of coal resources reserves with the current economic and social development situation, and the residual test model is established, so the prediction model is more accurate. The results show that China's coal reserves can ensure the use of production at least 300 years of use. And the results are similar to the mainstream forecast results, and that are in line with objective reality.