Modern Approaches to Mathematical Modeling of River Runoff in the Territory of the European Part of Russia

3rd International Conference Environment and Sustainable Development of Territories: Ecological Challenges of the 21st Century

生态环境科学;地球科学;经济学

Mukharamova, S.S.^1 ; Yermolaev, O.P.^1 ; Vedeneeva, E.A.^1

Institute of Environmental Sciences, Kazan Federal University, Kremlevskaya str., 18, Kazan

420008, Russia^1

关键词: Forecast accuracy;    Geographical conditions;    River runoffs;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/107/1/012017/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/107/1/012017

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

This article deals with the construction of mathematical models, which describe the dependence of the river runoff modulus in the territory of the European part of Russia on landscape-geographical conditions and anthropogenic load using modern regression-type statistical models. The obtained models reflect about 80% of the variability of the data and provide acceptable forecast accuracy. As well as these models reflect the main dependencies of river runoff on the conditions of its formation in the research scale. Spatial extrapolation of the river runoff values to the hydrologically unexplored areas of the European part of Russia is performed.