Heterogeneity of road traffic accident rate in the Russian cities and the need of usage various methods of transport safety management

Energy Management of Municipal Transportation Facilities and Transport - EMMFT 2017

Petrov, A.I.^1 ; Petrova, D.A.^2

Tyumen Industrial University, Volodarskogo str., 38, Tyumen

625000, Russia^1

Ural Federal University Named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin, Ekaterinburg, Russia^2

关键词: Priority method;    Regression model;    Road safety;    Road traffic accidents;    Social risks;    Statistical datas;    Transport safety;    Transport systems;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/90/1/012058/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/90/1/012058

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

The article considers one of the topical problems of road safety management at the federal level - the problem of the heterogeneity of road traffic accident rate in Russian cities. The article analyzes actual statistical data on road traffic accident rate in the administrative centers of Russia. The histograms of the distribution of the values of two most important road accidents characteristics - Social Risk HR and Severity Rate of Road Accidents - formed in 2016 in administrative centers of Russia are presented. On the basis of the regression model of the statistical connection between Severity Rate of Road Accidents and Social Risk HR, a classification of the Russian cities based on the level of actual road traffic accident rate was developed. On the basis of this classification a differentiated system of priority methods for organizing the safe functioning of transport systems in the cities of Russia is proposed.