Developing Vulnerability Analysis Method for Climate Change Adaptation on Agropolitan Region in Malang District

3rd International Seminar On Sciences "Sciences On Precision And Sustainable Agriculture"

Sugiarto, Y.^1,2,3 ; Perdinan^1,2,3 ; Atmaja, T.^2,3 ; Wibowo, A.^4

Department of Geophysics and Meteorology, Bogor Agricultural University, Indonesia^1

Prima Intelektual Area (PI AREA), Indonesia^2

Generasi Hijau Indonesia, Indonesia^3

Ministry of Environment and Forestry, Indonesia^4

关键词: economy;    Podes;    Poncokusumo;    tourism;    village;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/58/1/012044/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/58/1/012044

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Agriculture plays a strategic role in strengthening sustainable development. Based on agropolitan concept, the village becomes the center of economic activities by combining agriculture, agro-industry, agribusiness and tourism that able to create high value-added economy. The impact of climate change on agriculture and water resources may increase the pressure on agropolitan development. The assessment method is required to measure the vulnerability of area-based communities in the agropolitan to climate change impact. An analysis of agropolitan vulnerability was conducted in Malang district based on four aspects and considering the availability and distribution of water as the problem. The indicators used to measure was vulnerability component which consisted of sensitivity and adaptive capacity and exposure component. The studies earned 21 indicators derived from the 115 village-based data. The results of vulnerability assessments showed that most of the villages were categorised at a moderate level. Around 20% of 388 villages were categorized at high to very high level of vulnerability due to low level of agricultural economic. In agropolitan region within the sub-district of Poncokusumo, the vulnerability of the villages varies between very low to very high. The most villages were vulnerable due to lower adaptive capacity, eventhough the level of sensitivity and exposure of all villages were relatively similar. The existence of water resources was the biggest contributor to the high exposure of the villages in Malang district, while the reception of credit facilities and source of family income were among the indicators that lead to high sensitivity component.