Analysis of Domino Effect Based on Bayesian Probability Explosion and Oil Tank Fire in Mixing Tank Area

2019 3rd International Workshop on Renewable Energy and Development

能源学;生态环境科学

Wenhu, Xi^1 ; Fengzhang, Cun^1^2 ; Haipan, Xu^1

College of Safety Science and Engineering, Nanjing Tech University, Nanjing, Jiangsu

210000, China^1

School of Resource Engineering, Longyan University, Longyan, Fujian

3640190, China^2

关键词: Accident probability;    Bayesian probabilities;    Chemical storage tanks;    Control measures;    Damage probability;    Gas storage tank;    Hybrid storages;    Safety protection;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/267/4/042140/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/267/4/042140

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Based on the domino effect and Bayesian network, this paper establishes the accident probability model of hybrid storage tank area. Taking a chemical storage tank area as an example to analyze the accident domino effect caused by accident parameters such as thermal radiation and explosion shock wave, we analyzed and calculated the damage probability of shock wave over-pressure and pool fire to adjacent equipment in liquefied gas storage tanks by considered that the occurrence of a pool fire accident in a single tank is a result of the incident. The results show that the control measures are combined with the energy transfer sequence of the accident, so that the safety protection measures proposed under this scenario can more effectively ensure the safety of the chemical tank farm.