Forecast and Analysis of Road Transportation Energy Demand under the Background of System Dynamics

2018 4th International Conference on Environmental Science and Material Application

生态环境科学;材料科学

Zhang, Leiyu^1 ; Liu, Lijian^1 ; Wang, Meili^1 ; Wang, Yanhong^1 ; Zhou, Yuxin^1

Army Military Transportation University, Tianjin, China^1

关键词: Energy demands;    Forecast and analysis;    Passenger transportation;    Road transportation;    System Dynamics;    Urban road;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/252/5/052043/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/252/5/052043

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

By analyzing the relationship between urban road transportation energy demand and economy and passenger transportation, the dynamic model of road transportation energy demand system in Beijing is built, and the road transportation statistics are applied to the system anyway. The results show that the system can overcome the shortcomings of road transportation forecasting, and verify the feasibility of the system. It has decision-making reality and predictability for the analysis of road transportation energy demand.