Risk assessment of development zone power grid investment

2018 4th International Conference on Environmental Science and Material Application

生态环境科学;材料科学

Xu, Genyang^1 ; Zhang, Dong^1 ; Cao, Chenggong^1 ; Sun, Changxiang^1 ; Luo, Xi^1 ; Zhu, Jingbo^1

Tongling Electric Power Company, State Grid Anhui Electric Power Company, Tongling, Anhui Province

244000, China^1

关键词: Grid investment;    Investment efficiency;    Investment risks;    Market environment;    Multi-objective optimization function;    Power distributions;    Power grid investments;    Reform policies;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/252/3/032082/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/252/3/032082

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

The new power reform policy proposes an orderly liberalization of the incremental power distribution business, which has brought many impacts on the power grid investment work of the power company, which is reflected in investment focus, investment efficiency and investment risk. This paper analyzes the uncertainty of power company's investment in power grid in the market environment, and uses the probability distribution method to model the influencing factors, and analyze the income of grid investment, evaluate the risk of grid investment, and establish grid investment. Multi-objective optimization function. Finally, an example is verified in Anhui Tongling Development Zone, which proves the validity and superiority of the model.