A Re-electrification Scenario Analysis at a Time of Worldwide Energy Transition

4th International Conference on Advances in Energy Resources and Environment Engineering

能源学;生态环境科学

Feng, Jun-Shu^1^2 ; Zheng, Kuan^1^2 ; Li, Jiang-Tao^1 ; Fu, Guan-Jun^1^2

State Grid Energy Research Institute, Future Science and Technology Park, Changping Beijing

102209, China^1

State Grid Energy and Power System Planning Research Laboratory, Future Science and Technology Park, Changping Beijing

102209, China^2

关键词: Clean energy;    Energy systems;    Energy transitions;    Fossil energy;    Future energies;    Low carbon;    Primary energy consumption;    Scenario analysis;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/237/6/062028/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/237/6/062028

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

The world is experiencing a new round energy transition from fossil energy to clean energy. Due to the fact that the electricity is the most usual way of clean energy use, the key to build a modern energy system will be electricity-centric. This paper reviews major countries' history of electrification and summarizes inherent laws of electrification degree rising. The main features of future energy supply turn to clean and low carbon and energy consumption turn to efficient and intelligent, it's expected that future electrification development will leapfrog into a higher and more ubiquitous degree of re-electrification. After that, a re-electrification scenario of future energy development is designed, in which share of power generation in total primary energy consumption (TPED) and share of electricity in total final consumption (TFC) of energy exceed 66% and 40% each in 2050.