Evaluation of changing weather and climate comfort conditions in Russia from 1980 to 2050

Turbulence, Atmosphere and Climate Dynamics

生态环境科学

Emelina, S.V.^1^2 ; Makosko, A.A.^2^3 ; Matesheva, A.V.^2

Hydrometeorological Research Center of Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia^1

Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the RAS, Moscow, Russia^2

Interdepartmental Center of Analytical Research in Physics, Chemistry and Biology at the Presidium of the RAS, Moscow, Russia^3

关键词: Climate comfort;    Climatic models;    Continental climate;    Numerical mathematics;    Reanalysis;    Retrospective analysis;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/231/1/012015/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/231/1/012015

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

This study examined the variations in weather and climate comfort in Russia. For retrospective analysis (1980-2015), reanalysis data were used, for the future (2020-2050) were made using calculations on the climatic model of the Marchuk Institute of Numerical Mathematics RAS. The results using the data from the RCP8.5 ("hard" scenario) suggest that in areas with a strongly continental climate winters get more comfortable, but summers get less comfortable. At the same time, there is also a tendency to smooth out and almost complete absence of a seasonal course of comfort. In regions that are characterized by a temperate continental climate there is a tendency to increase comfort in winter, a decline in autumns and springs and almost no changes in the summer. In areas with oceanic type of climate, a decrease in comfort in winters is expected, as well as in autumns and springs.