Risk Assessment of Equipment Repair Cost Based on Multi-Agent Modeling

2019 2nd International Conference on Advanced Materials, Intelligent Manufacturing and Automation

Xiao, Xiong^1 ; Dong, Peng^1

Department of Management Engineering and Equipment Economics, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan, China^1

关键词: Anylogic softwares;    Complicated structures;    Evaluation results;    Large equipments;    Multi-Agent Model;    Repair equipments;    Risk assessment models;    Step-by step decomposition;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/569/3/032009/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/569/3/032009

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Due to the complicated structure, large equipment is prone to cost risks during the repair process. To assess the cost risk of such equipment, the method of step-by-step decomposition of the repair equipment can be adopted. The repair task is first decomposed into the bottom-level work unit at the system level or equipment level, and the risk factors are identified by the WBS-RBS method, and the risk is calculated by the FAHP method. The factors are combined with the probability values, and the comprehensive probability values of these risk factors are input into the cost risk assessment model based on Anylogic software. In the equipment repair task of a diesel engine, the model realizes the cost risk assessment of the underlying work unit through single agent, and builds the multi-agent to summarize the evaluation results to obtain the repair task cost risk assessment value.