Research on forecast method of railway passenger flow demand in pre-sale period

2019 International Conference on Advanced Electronic Materials, Computers and Materials Engineering

无线电电子学;计算机科学;材料科学

Wei, Zhengzheng^1 ; Shan, Xinghua^1

Railway Technology Research College, China Academy of Railway Science Corporation Limited, Beijing, China^1

关键词: Demand changes;    Dynamic adjustment;    Forecast method;    Passenger flows;    Railway industry;    Railway passengers;    Rational layouts;    Revenue management;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/563/5/052080/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/563/5/052080

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

The railway demand scientific forecasting is a rapid response mechanism for the railway sector, rational layout train plan for achieving definitive dynamic adjustment, and the basis for carrying out revenue management. In the railway industry, with changes of the seasons, holidays, emergencies and strategic competitor (such as airline routes for a certain period of reduced discount), passenger flow demand changes. Based on actual demand, this paper proposes an adaptive and flexible method of the railway passenger flow forecasting, which can be adapted to the above factors.